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2003 CSES Plenary Session

October 3-4, 2003
Stockholm, Sweden

We are very grateful to International IDEA for their sponsorship of the conference which was held at the Aronsborg Conference Center near Stockholm, Sweden.


Conference Center

Main Hall

Participants

Agenda

Friday, October 3, 2003, 10:00 AM to 12:15 PM

  1. Review of the CSES project. Jacques Thomassen, David Howell
  2. Report on the state of affairs of analysis and publication for CSES Module 1. Hans-Dieter Klingemann
  3. Brief business, including election of new members for the Module 3 Planning Committee.

Friday, October 3, 2003, 2:15 PM to 6:30 PM

  1. International IDEA, 2:30-4:15
  2. Preliminary presentation by Hermann Schmitt and Bernhard Weßels of a stimulus paper, intended to focus initial discussion of the content of Module 3 of the CSES study, 4:30-6:30.

Saturday, October 4, 2003, 9:00 AM to 12:15 PM

  1. Parties, Politicians, and Policies: Orientations of Vote Choice Across Voters and Contexts, Ph.D. Dissertation, by Martin Kroh, 9:00-10:00
  2. Research Panels (see list below), 10:00-12:15

Saturday, October 4, 2003, 2:00 PM to 6:00 PM

  1. Private meeting of new Module 3 Planning Committee, 2:00-4:00
  2. Reconvening of Plenary and report by new Module 3 Planning Committee, 4:00-6:00

Research Panels (Presentations List):

Panel A: Electoral Developments in Interesting Countries

  1. Economic Model in Post Civil war: The Paradox Victory of Joaquim Chissano and Frelimo in the First Two General Elections, 1994-1999. Joao Pereira, Mozambique
  2. Methodological Peculiarities of Electoral Sociological Researches Organisation and Realization. David Rotman, Belarus
  3. What Matters in Electoral Choice in Slovakia? Olga Gyarfasova, Slovakia

Panel B: Electoral Developments in Interesting Countries

  1. Russia. Elena Bashkirova, Russia
  2. The Bi-Polar Electoral Model in Bulgaria (1990-2003): Genesis, Functioning, Collapse. Andrei Raichev, Bulgaria
  3. Continuity with Change: Shifting Paradigms in India's Electoral Politics. Sandeep Shastri, India

Panel C: Social Bases of Electoral Choice

  1. Determinants of Left-Right Voting in Turkey. Yilmaz Esmer, Turkey
  2. The Gender Gap in Portuguese Political Participation. Ana Espírito Santo, Portugal
  3. Social Structural and Cultural Deteminants of Left-Right Voting in Flanders (Belgium) Between 1991 and 1999. Jaak Billiet, Belgium

Panel D: Processes of Individual Vote Choice

  1. Issue Voting in Portugal: The 2002 Legislative Elections. André Freire, Portugal
  2. Turnout and Information Effects in Elections. Gábor Tóka, Hungary
    A longer version of the paper, entitled Voter Inequality, Turnout and Information Effects in a Cross-National Perspective (part of the Helen Kellogg Institute Working Paper Series), is available at http://www.nd.edu/~kellogg/WPS/297.pdf
  3. Economic and Identity Voting in the 2000 Presidential and 2001 Parliamentary Elections in Poland. Krzysztof Jasiewicz, Poland

Panel E: The Impact of Electoral Systems

  1. Why Electors Do Not Remember Whom They Voted For. Alberto Almeida, Brazil
  2. Fifteen Countries' Electoral Systems. Nam Young Lee, Hyung-joon Kim, and Wook Kim, Korea
  3. Consequences of Voting on Changes in Satisfaction with Democracy in Post-Socialist Countries. Janez Stebe, Slovenia
  4. The 1999 and 2003 Elections to the Welsh Assembly: Electoral System Experimentation and the 'New Politics' of Devolution in the United Kingdom. David Broughton, United Kingdom

Panel F: Election Studies

  1. The Barometer Projects and Comparative Analysis. Marta Lagos, Chile
  2. Taiwan's Election and Democratization Study 2001. Chi Huang, Taiwan
  3. Measuring Democratization in Thailand after Political Reform. Thawilwadee Bureekul, Thailand
  4. Research and Data on recent Finnish Elections: An Overview. Sami Borg and Heikki Paloheimo, Finland

Panel G: Electoral Accountability

  1. Do Institutions Explain Variance in Retrospective Voting? Ulises Beltrán, Mexico
  2. Grofman's Discount Model: An Application. Bernhard Weßels, Germany
  3. Incumbents and Opposition: On Two Different Manifestations of Representation and Accountability. Radoslaw Markowski, Poland

Participants List

In alphabetical order by surname.
Contact information shown is current as of the CSES Plenary Session in October of 2003.

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Bernt Aardal
Professor
The Norwegian Election Studies
Institute for Social Research, Munthesgate 31, N-0260 Oslo 1, Norway
+47 - 230 86160
+47 - 230 86101
bernt.aardal@samfunnsforskning.no
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Kees Aarts
Dr.
School of Business, Public Administration and Technology,
University of Twente
P.O. Box 217, 7500 AE Enschede, The Netherlands
+31 - 53 489 3251
+31 - 53 489 4732
kees.aarts@utwente.nl
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Baffour Agyeman-Duah
Dr.
Ghana Center for Democratic Development
14 Airport West Residential Area, P.O. Box 404, Legon-Accra, Ghana
+233 - 21 776142
+233 - 21 763028
baffour@cddghana.org
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Alberto Almeida
Professor
Fundação Getúlio Vargas
Av. Treze de Maio, 23/1209, 20031-000 - Rio de Janeiro - RJ, Brazil
+55 - 21 2524 7156
+55 - 21 2524 7068
aalmeida@fgv.br
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Johannes Andersen
Professor
Danish Election Programme
Department of Economics, Politics and Public Administration,
Aalborg University, Fibigerstraede 1, 9220 Aalborg Oest, Denmark
+45 96 35 8200
+45 98 15 53 46
johannes@socsci.auc.dk
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Asher Arian
Professor
Senior Fellow of the Israel Democracy Institute, and Distinguished
Professor of the Political Science Department, City University
of New York
Department of Political Science, University of Haifa, Haifa 31905, Israel
+972 - 4 825 3786
+972 - 4 825 7076
Arian@idi.org.il
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Gabriel Badescu
Professor
Faculty of Political and Administrative Sciences
Babes-Bolyai University, Str. G-ral Traian Mosoiu 71,
3400 Cluj-Napoca, Romania
+40 - 264 431485
+40 - 264 431505
badescu@msu.edu
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Steven Barnett
Professor of Communications
School of Media, University of Westminster
Northwick Park Campus, Watford Road, Harrow,
Middx HA1 3TP, United Kingdom
+44 20 7911 5981
+44 20 7911 5942
s.barnett@wmin.ac.uk
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Elena Bashkirova

ROMIR (Russian Opinion & Market Research)
4, Zubovsky Blvd., Moscow, 119021 Russia
+7 095 201 5239
+7 095 201 3979
Elena.Bashkirova@romir.ru
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Ulises Beltrán
Professor
Associate Professor, División de Estudios Políticos,
CIDE (Centro de Investigacion y Docencia Economica)
Carretera México-Toluca 3655, Col. Lomas de Santa Fe,
México, D.F. 11850, Mexico
+525 - 211 3044
+525 - 256 0510
ulises.beltran@cide.edu
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Jaak Billiet
Professor
University of Leuven, Department of Sociology
E-Van Evenstraat 2B, 3000 Leuven, Belgium
+32 - 16 32 31 57
+32 - 16 32 33 65
Jaak.Billiet@soc.kuleuven.ac.be
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Sarah Birch
Dr. - Reader in Politics
Department of Government, University of Essex
Wivenhoe Park, Colchester CO3 4SQ, United Kingdom
+44 1206 872 690
+44 1206 873 598
bircsi@essex.ac.uk
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André Blais
Professor
Département de Science Politique, Université de Montréal
3150, rue Jean-Brillant, bureau C-4040, C.P. 6128,
Succ. Centre-Ville, Montréal (Québec) H3C 3J7, Canada
+1 - 514 343 7349
+1 - 514 343 2360
andre.blais@umontreal.ca
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Sami Borg
Dr.
FSD Finnish Social Science Data Archive
Åkerlundinkatu 2 A, 5. krs, 33014 Tampereen Yliopisto, Finland
+358 - 3 215 8524
+358 - 3 215 8520
sami.borg@uta.fi
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David Broughton
Dr.
School of European Studies, Cardiff University
P.O. Box 908, Cardiff CF10 3YQ, United Kingdom
+44 - 29 20 874146 / 874808
+44 - 29 20 874 946
broughton@cardiff.ac.uk
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Thawilwadee Bureekul
Dr.
The King Prajadhipok's Institute
Civil Service Training Institute Building, Tiwanon Road,
Nontaburi 11000, Thailand
+66 - 2 5277 830
+66 - 2 5277 824
Thawilwadee@kpi.ac.th
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Yun-Han Chu
Professor
Institute of Political Science, Academia Sinica
128 Academia Road, Section 2, Nan Kang, Taipei, 115, Taiwan
+886 - 2 27899939 ext. 202
+886 - 2 27832610
yunhan@gate.sinica.edu.tw
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John Curtice
Professor
Department of Government, University of Strathclyde
16 Richmond Street, Glasgow, G1 1XQ, Scotland
+44 - 141 548 4223
+44 - 141 552 5677
j.curtice@strath.ac.uk
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Juan Díez-Nicolás
Professor
ASEP (Analisis Sociológicos Económicos y Políticos)
P° de la Castellana 173, 5° Izquierda, 28046 Madrid, Spain
+34 - 91 570 5107
+34 - 91 579 4073
100613.2721@compuserve.com
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Jørgen Elklit
Professor
Department of Political Science, University of Aarhus
DK-8000 Aarhus C, Denmark
+45 8942 1259
+45 8613 9839
elklit@ps.au.dk
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Andrew Ellis
Head of Elections Team
International IDEA
SE-103 34 Strömsborg, Stockholm, Sweden
+46 8 698 3700
+46 8 202422
a.ellis@idea.int
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Yilmaz Esmer
Professor
Department of Political Science, Bogazici University
80814 Bebek, Istanbul, Turkey
+90 - 212 358 1540
+90 - 212 287 2455
esmer@boun.edu.tr
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Karen Fogg
Secretary General
International IDEA
Strömsborg, S-103 34 Stockholm, Sweden
+46 8 698 3700
+46 8 202422
k.fogg@idea.int
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André Freire

ISCTE, Higher Institute for Labour and Business Studies, and ICS-UL,
Social Sciences Research Institute, University of Lisbon
Av.ª Prof. Aníbal Bettencourt, 9, 1600-189 Lisboa, Portugal
+351 - 21 780 4700
+351 - 21 794 0274
andre.freire@iscte.pt
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Vladas Gaidys
Dr.
Public Opinion Research Center "Vilmorus", Institute for
Social Research
Gedimino 1-15 , Vilnius 2001, Lithuania
+3705 - 269 0979
+3705 - 269 0981
vladas@vilmorus.lt
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Elisabeth Gidengil
Professor
Department of Political Science, McGill University
855 Sherbrooke West, Montreal QC, H3A 2T7, Canada
+1 - 514 398 4805
+1 - 514 398 1770
Elisabeth.Gidengil@mcgill.ca
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Ron Gould
Election Consultant

1133 Ambleside Drive, Ottawa, Ontario K2B 8E2, Canada
+1 - 613 820 3732
+1 - 613 820 9990
gouchiholdings@hotmail.com
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Maria Gratschew
Programme Officer - Elections
International IDEA
Strömsborg, S-103 34 Stockholm, Sweden
+46 8 - 698 3700
+46 8 - 202422
m.gratschew@idea.int
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Linda Luz Guerrero
Vice-President
Social Weather Stations
52 Malingap Street, Sikatuna Village, Quezon City 1101, Philippines
+632 - 924 4465
+632 - 920 2181
guerrero@sws.org.ph
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Olga Gyarfasova

Institute for Public Affairs
Hviezdoslavovo nam. 15, 811 02 Bratislava, Slovakia
+421 - 2 5443 4030
+421 - 2 5443 4041
olga@ivo.sk
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Henry E. Hale
Professor
Assistant Professor of Political Science, Indiana University
Woodburn Hall 210, Bloomington, IN 47405, U.S.A.
+1 - 812 855 1664
+1 - 812 855 2027
hhale@indiana.edu
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Ólafur Þ. Harðarson
Professor
University of Iceland, Faculty of Social Science
101 Reykjavik, Iceland
+354 - 525 4514
+354 - 552 6806
othh@hi.is
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Sören Holmberg
Professor
Statsvetenskapliga Institutionen, Department of Political Science,
Göteborg University
P.O. Box 711, SE-405 30 Göteborg, Sweden
+46 - 31 773 1227
+46 - 31 773 4599
Soren.Holmberg@pol.gu.se
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David A. Howell
Director of Studies
CSES Secretariat, Center for Political Studies, University of Michigan
Institute for Social Research, Room 4118, 426 Thompson St.,
Ann Arbor, MI 48104-2321, U.S.A.
+1 - 734 936 1774
+1 - 734 764 3341
dahowell@umich.edu
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Chi Huang
Professor
Department of Political Science, National Chung Cheng University
160 San-Hsing, Ming-Hsiung, Chia-Yi 621, Taiwan
+886 - 5 272 0411 ext. 32601
+886 - 5 272 1195
polch@ccu.edu.tw
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Krzysztof Jasiewicz
Professor
Department of Sociology, Washington and Lee University
5 Newcomb Hall, 116 N. Main Street, Lexington, VA 24450-0303, U.S.A.
+1 - 540 458 8790
+1 - 540 458 8498
JasiewiczK@wlu.edu
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Christiaan Keulder

Institute for Public Policy Research (IPPR)
14 Nachtigal Street Windhoek, P.O. Box 86058,
Eros, Windhoek, Namibia
+264 - 61 238415
+264 - 61 240516
christie@ippr.org.na
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Hyung-joon Kim
Dr., Vice-Director
Korean Social Science Data Center
44-3 Yeouido Youngdungpo-Ku, 4th floor, Jei, Strongbox B/O, Korea
+82 - 02 786 8061
+82 - 02 786 8614
kimhjok@yahoo.co.kr
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Wook Kim
Dr.
Professor, Department of Political Science, Paichai University
439-6, Doma-dong, Seo-gu, Taejon, Korea
+82 - 42 520 5568
+82 - 42 520 5566
wkim@mail.paichai.ac.kr
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Hans-Dieter Klingemann
Prof. Dr.
Wissenschaftszentrum Berlin für Sozialforschung (WZB)
Reichpietschufer 50, D-10785 Berlin, Germany
+49 - 30 25491 320
+49 - 30 25491 345
Klingem@wz-berlin.de
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Ilze Koroleva
Dr.
Institute of Philosophy and Sociology, University of Latvia
Akademijas laukums 1, Riga LV-1940, Latvia
+371 - 722 7920
+371 - 721 0806
ilze_k@lza.lv
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Polina Kozyreva

Institute of Sociology, Russian Academy of Sciences
ul. Krzhyzhanovskogo 24/35, korp. 5, rm. 406, Moscow 117218, Russia
+011 - 7 095 125 8088
+011 - 7 095 719 0261
paulina@sovam.com
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Martin Kroh

DIW Berlin - German Institute for Economic Research
Königin-Luise-Straße 5, D-14195 Berlin, Germany
+49 - 30 89789 678
+49 - 30 89789 109
mkroh@diw.de
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Algis Krupavicius
Prof. Dr.
Policy and Public Administration Institute, Department of Public
Administration, Kaunas University of Technology
K. Donelaicio 20, LT-3000 Kaunas, Lithuania
+370 - 7 300 111
+370 - 7 300 102
akr239@kaunas.omnitel.net
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Hsin-chi Kuan
Professor
Department of Governance and Public Administration,
The Chinese University of Hong Kong
Shantin, N.T., Hong Kong
+852 - 2609 7555
+852 - 2603 5229
hckuan@cuhk.edu.hk
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Marta Lagos
Professor
Latinobarómetro, Opinión Pública Latinoamericana
Darío Urzúa #2080 - Providencia, Santiago, Chile
+562 - 334 4544
+562 - 334 6970
mlagos@latinobarometro.org
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Stina Larserud

International IDEA
Strömsborg, S-103 34 Stockholm, Sweden
+46 8 698 3700
+46 - 8 202422
s.larserud@idea.int
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Nam-Young Lee
Professor
Department of Political Science and International Relations,
Sookmyung Women's University
53-12 Chungpa-Dong 2-Ka, Youngsan-Ku, Seoul 140-742, Korea
+82 - 2 710 9486
+82 - 2 710 9648
nlee@ksdc.re.kr
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Karen J. Long

CSES Secretariat, Center for Political Studies, University of Michigan
Institute for Social Research, Room 4116, 426 Thompson St.,
Ann Arbor, MI 48104-2321, U.S.A.
+1 - 734 763 0141
+1 - 734 764 3341
kjlong@umich.edu
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Anna Markovich

CPSR (Center for Sociological and Political Research),
Belarus State University
Karl Marx St. 31, office 103, 220031 Minsk, Belarus
+375 - 17 227 2521
+375 - 17 229 2879
annamarkovich@yandex.ru
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Radoslaw Markowski
Professor
Institute of Political Studies, Polish Academy of Sciences
ul. Polna 18/20, 00-625 Warszawa, Poland
+48 - 22 825 5221
+48 - 22 825 2146
rmark@isppan.waw.pl
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Michael Marsh
Professor
Department of Political Science, Trinity College Dublin
1 College Green, Dublin 2, Ireland
+353 - 1 608 1070
+353 - 1 677 0546
mmarsh@tcd.ie
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Mikko Mattila
Dr., Lecturer
Department of Political Science, University of Helsinki
P.O. Box 54, 00014 Helsinki, Finland
+358 9 191 24904
+358 9 191 24832
mikko.mattila@helsinki.fi
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Ekkehard Mochmann

Zentralarchiv für Empirische Sozialforschung, Universität zu Köln
Bachemer Str. 40, D-50931 Köln, Germany
+49 - 221 476 9412
+49 - 221 476 9477
mochmann@za.uni-koeln.de
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Manuel Mora y Araujo

Ipsos-Mora y Araujo
Vuelta de Obligado 1947, 3° piso, C1428ADC Buenos Aires, Argentina
+54 - 11 4706 3300
+54 - 11 4706 3300
manuel.morayaraujo@ipsos-morayaraujo.com.ar
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Yoshitaka Nishizawa
Professor
Political Science Department, Doshisha University
Imadegawa Karasuma, Kamigyo, Kyoto 602-8580, Japan
+81 - 75 251 3597
+81 - 75 251 3060
ynishiza@mail.doshisha.ac.jp
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Pippa Norris
Professor
John F. Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University
Cambridge MA 02138, U.S.A.
+1 - 617 495 1475
+1 - 617 496 2850
pippa_norris@harvard.edu
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Heikki Paloheimo
Professor
Department of Political Science, University of Turku
20014 Turku, Finland
+358 - 2 333 5386
+358 - 2 333 5090
heikki.paloheimo@utu.fi
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Jon H. Pammett
Dr., Professor of Political Science
Carleton University
1125 Colonel By Drive, Ottawa, Ontario K1S 5B6, Canada
+1 - 613 520 3741
+1 - 613 520 3742
jon_pammett@carleton.ca
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Therese Pearce Laanela
Senior Programme Officer
International IDEA
Strömsborg, S-103 34 Stockholm, Sweden
+46 8 698 3746
+46 8 202422
t.laanela@idea.int
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João C.G. Pereira

Department of Political Studies, University of Capetown (South
Africa), Eduardo Mondlane University (Mozambique)
Centre for Social Science Research, University of Cape Town,
Private Bag, Rondebosch, 7701, Cape Town, South Africa
08 47 686884
+27 - 21 689 7574
jcgpereiramz@hotmail.com
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Andrei Raichev
Director
TNS BBSS
23, James Boucher Street, 1164 Sofia, Bulgaria
+359 - 2 9694 101
+359 - 2 9694 112
A.Raichev@gallup-bbss.com
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Ben Reilly
Dr., Senior Lecturer
National Centre for Development Studies, Asia Pacific School of
Economics and Government, Australian National University
Canberra, ACT 0200, Australia
+61 - 2 6125 0431
+61 - 2 6125 5570
ben.reilly@anu.edu.au
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Andrew Reynolds
Professor
University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill,
Political Science Department
361 Hamilton Hall, CB 3265 Chapel Hill, North Carolina, U.S.A.
+1 - 919 962 0403
+1 - 919 962 0432
asreynol@email.unc.edu
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Richard Rose
Professor, Senior Fellow, Oxford Internet Institute and
Director of the Centre for the Study of Public Policy
University of Strathclyde, Glasgow G1 1XH, United Kingdom
+44 - 141 548 3217
+44 - 141 552 4711
prof_r_rose@yahoo.co.uk
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David Rotman
Professor
CPSR (Center for Sociological and Political Research),
Belarus State University
Karl Marx St. 31, office 103, 220031 Minsk, Belarus
+375 - 17 227 2521
+375 - 17 229 2879
rotman@bsu.by
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Andrew Russell
Dr., Lecturer in Government
University of Manchester
Manchester M13 9PL, United Kingdom
+44 161 275 4250
+44 161 275 4925
andrew.russell@man.ac.uk
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Babaly Sall

Coordinator GERCOP
UFR SJP/UGB, ST-Louis BP 234, Senegal
+221 - 961 2356
+221 - 961 1884
sallbabaly@netcourrier.com
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Ana Espírito Santo

Instituto de Ciências Sociais da Universidade de Lisboa
Avenida Professor Aníbal Bettencourt, 9, 1600 - 189 Lisboa, Portugal
+351 - 21 780 4700
+351 21 794 0274
ana.espirito.santo@ics.ul.pt
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Hermann Schmitt
PD Dr.
Mannheimer Zentrum für Europäische Sozialforschung (MZES)
Universität Mannheim, D-68131 Mannheim, Germany
+49 - 621 181 2881
+49 - 621 181 2880
hermann.schmitt@mzes.uni-mannheim.de
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Peter Selb
Dr.
Swiss Electoral Studies (Selects), Institute for Political Science,
University of Zurich
Seilergraben 53, CH-8001 Zurich, Switzerland
+41 - 1 634 3979
+41 - 1 634 4360
peselb@pwi.unizh.ch
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Michal Shamir
Professor
Department of Political Science, Tel Aviv University
Ramat-Aviv, Tel Aviv 69 978, Israel
+972 - 3 640 9574
+972 - 3 640 9515
m3600@post.tau.ac.il
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Sandeep Shastri
Professor and Dean of Research and Social Science
International Academy for Creative Teaching,
MATS University, Bangalore
52, Bellary Road, Hebbal, Bangalore 560 024, India
+91 - 80 3545246
+91 - 80 3545247
sshastri@eth.net
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Allan Sikk

Department of Political Science, University of Tartu
Ülikooli 18, Tartu 50090, Estonia
+372 - 7 375 668
+372 - 7 375 154
allans@ut.ee
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Janez Stebe

Faculty of Social Science, University of Ljubljana
Kardeljeva pl. 5, SI - 1000 Ljubljana, Slovenia
+386 - 1 5805 292
+386 - 1 5805 104
janez.stebe@Uni-Lj.si
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Donley Studlar
Professor, Eberly Distinguished Professor of Political Science
West Virginia University
P.O. Box 6317, West Virginia University,
Morgantown, WV 26506-6317, U.S.A.
+1 - 304 293 3811, ext. 5269
+1 - 304 293 8644
dstudlar@wvu.edu
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Jacques Thomassen
Professor
Department of Political Science, University of Twente
P.O. Box 217, 7500 AE Enschede, The Netherlands
+31 - 53 489 3225
+31 - 53 489 4734
J.J.A.Thomassen@utwente.nl
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Gábor Tóka
Dr.
Political Science Department, Central European University
Nador u. 9, 1051 Budapest, Hungary
+36 - 1 327 3084
+36 - 1 327 3087
tokag@ceu.hu
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Jack Vowles
Professor
Department of Political Studies, University of Auckland
Private Bag 92019, Auckland, New Zealand
+64 - 9 3737 599 ext. 88644
+64 - 9 3737 449
j.vowles@auckland.ac.nz
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Bernhard Weßels
Prof. Dr.
Wissenschaftszentrum Berlin für Sozialforschung (WZB)
Reichpietschufer 50, D-10785 Berlin, Germany
+49 - 30 25491 315
+49 - 30 25491 345
wessels@wzb.eu